{
  "researchDate": "2026-10-01",
  "EU": {
    "source": "Eurostat road_eqs_carpda, 2024/2025, TOTAL legal form",
    "countries": [
      "AT",
      "BE",
      "BG",
      "HR",
      "CY",
      "CZ",
      "DK",
      "EE",
      "FI",
      "FR",
      "DE",
      "EL",
      "HU",
      "IE",
      "IT",
      "LV",
      "LT",
      "LU",
      "MT",
      "NL",
      "PL",
      "PT",
      "RO",
      "SK",
      "SI",
      "ES",
      "SE"
    ],
    "annualTotals": {
      "2024": {
        "electric": 5774179,
        "hybrid": 16798173,
        "petrol": 126890701,
        "diesel": 100495501,
        "other": 10237283
      },
      "2025": {
        "electric": 7592725,
        "hybrid": 20954273,
        "petrol": 125797035,
        "diesel": 99061551,
        "other": 10442284
      }
    },
    "imputedCells": [
      {
        "country": "EL",
        "year": 2024,
        "estimated": "HEV/diesel/other shares from ACEA 2026 (Greece: 2023); petrol is balancing residual",
        "total": 6027946
      },
      {
        "country": "SK",
        "year": 2024,
        "estimated": "HEV/diesel/other shares from ACEA 2026 (Greece: 2023); petrol is balancing residual",
        "total": 2722491
      },
      {
        "country": "PL",
        "year": 2024,
        "estimated": "HEV/diesel/other shares from ACEA 2026 (Greece: 2023); petrol is balancing residual",
        "total": 22951213
      },
      {
        "country": "BG",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 3254325
      },
      {
        "country": "FR",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 39957994
      },
      {
        "country": "EL",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 6188525
      },
      {
        "country": "NL",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 9415540
      },
      {
        "country": "PL",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 23233513
      },
      {
        "country": "SK",
        "year": 2025,
        "estimated": "matched-country HEV/diesel trends; observed total/BEV/PHEV retained; other stable share; petrol residual (BG: hybrid residual)",
        "total": 2768900
      }
    ],
    "matchedCountryMultipliers": {
      "hybrid": 1.2456987864116327,
      "diesel": 0.9847901668397908
    },
    "countryPanels": {
      "AT-2024": {
        "electric": 200603,
        "hybrid": 329935,
        "petrol": 2186500,
        "diesel": 2510099,
        "other": 4756
      },
      "AT-2025": {
        "electric": 257717,
        "hybrid": 440722,
        "petrol": 2175898,
        "diesel": 2407428,
        "other": 4336
      },
      "BE-2024": {
        "electric": 303784,
        "hybrid": 752327,
        "petrol": 3135687,
        "diesel": 1849251,
        "other": 58040
      },
      "BE-2025": {
        "electric": 395188,
        "hybrid": 846461,
        "petrol": 3136152,
        "diesel": 1699797,
        "other": 58436
      },
      "BG-2024": {
        "electric": 17826,
        "hybrid": 74065,
        "petrol": 1077343,
        "diesel": 1516294,
        "other": 431214
      },
      "HR-2024": {
        "electric": 10045,
        "hybrid": 55967,
        "petrol": 754176,
        "diesel": 1110070,
        "other": 56898
      },
      "HR-2025": {
        "electric": 12616,
        "hybrid": 42909,
        "petrol": 803670,
        "diesel": 1144825,
        "other": 54293
      },
      "CY-2024": {
        "electric": 3317,
        "hybrid": 44722,
        "petrol": 464971,
        "diesel": 133723,
        "other": 594
      },
      "CY-2025": {
        "electric": 5244,
        "hybrid": 62198,
        "petrol": 465414,
        "diesel": 134442,
        "other": 543
      },
      "CZ-2024": {
        "electric": 36341,
        "hybrid": 37760,
        "petrol": 3786305,
        "diesel": 2516157,
        "other": 261609
      },
      "CZ-2025": {
        "electric": 57611,
        "hybrid": 53960,
        "petrol": 3875670,
        "diesel": 2537462,
        "other": 249696
      },
      "DK-2024": {
        "electric": 344438,
        "hybrid": 127566,
        "petrol": 1747649,
        "diesel": 645132,
        "other": 119
      },
      "DK-2025": {
        "electric": 540979,
        "hybrid": 127854,
        "petrol": 1664720,
        "diesel": 684368,
        "other": 105
      },
      "EE-2024": {
        "electric": 8111,
        "hybrid": 55058,
        "petrol": 444840,
        "diesel": 358904,
        "other": 2753
      },
      "EE-2025": {
        "electric": 10171,
        "hybrid": 63232,
        "petrol": 393122,
        "diesel": 339912,
        "other": 2658
      },
      "FI-2024": {
        "electric": 121539,
        "hybrid": 356687,
        "petrol": 2363484,
        "diesel": 891115,
        "other": 23017
      },
      "FI-2025": {
        "electric": 169458,
        "hybrid": 398854,
        "petrol": 2327478,
        "diesel": 874110,
        "other": 23018
      },
      "FR-2024": {
        "electric": 1132210,
        "hybrid": 2907159,
        "petrol": 15919234,
        "diesel": 19201010,
        "other": 579320
      },
      "DE-2024": {
        "electric": 1651643,
        "hybrid": 3556794,
        "petrol": 29918520,
        "diesel": 13829261,
        "other": 382948
      },
      "DE-2025": {
        "electric": 2034260,
        "hybrid": 4362421,
        "petrol": 29343732,
        "diesel": 13385662,
        "other": 360412
      },
      "HU-2024": {
        "electric": 60211,
        "hybrid": 251335,
        "petrol": 2582498,
        "diesel": 1338743,
        "other": 30280
      },
      "HU-2025": {
        "electric": 86372,
        "hybrid": 310217,
        "petrol": 2584058,
        "diesel": 1364343,
        "other": 29773
      },
      "IE-2024": {
        "electric": 77336,
        "hybrid": 232146,
        "petrol": 871218,
        "diesel": 1346910,
        "other": 7026
      },
      "IE-2025": {
        "electric": 103299,
        "hybrid": 295191,
        "petrol": 885031,
        "diesel": 1328687,
        "other": 6875
      },
      "IT-2024": {
        "electric": 279607,
        "hybrid": 2900352,
        "petrol": 17636755,
        "diesel": 16437562,
        "other": 4086240
      },
      "IT-2025": {
        "electric": 362224,
        "hybrid": 3651348,
        "petrol": 17564786,
        "diesel": 16051400,
        "other": 4166204
      },
      "LV-2024": {
        "electric": 9234,
        "hybrid": 35258,
        "petrol": 192731,
        "diesel": 517507,
        "other": 33345
      },
      "LV-2025": {
        "electric": 13916,
        "hybrid": 49705,
        "petrol": 191130,
        "diesel": 517762,
        "other": 30271
      },
      "LT-2024": {
        "electric": 15741,
        "hybrid": 91082,
        "petrol": 391294,
        "diesel": 1122031,
        "other": 109565
      },
      "LT-2025": {
        "electric": 23148,
        "hybrid": 125981,
        "petrol": 407042,
        "diesel": 1149671,
        "other": 111014
      },
      "LU-2024": {
        "electric": 32618,
        "hybrid": 58366,
        "petrol": 197547,
        "diesel": 168206,
        "other": 494
      },
      "LU-2025": {
        "electric": 39986,
        "hybrid": 71338,
        "petrol": 197236,
        "diesel": 152743,
        "other": 459
      },
      "MT-2024": {
        "electric": 7301,
        "hybrid": 14763,
        "petrol": 213454,
        "diesel": 93039,
        "other": 1927
      },
      "MT-2025": {
        "electric": 9790,
        "hybrid": 17363,
        "petrol": 215299,
        "diesel": 91331,
        "other": 1910
      },
      "NL-2024": {
        "electric": 569144,
        "hybrid": 1051997,
        "petrol": 6861660,
        "diesel": 664475,
        "other": 100534
      },
      "PT-2024": {
        "electric": 165316,
        "hybrid": 307403,
        "petrol": 2293156,
        "diesel": 3277095,
        "other": 92547
      },
      "PT-2025": {
        "electric": 241819,
        "hybrid": 408678,
        "petrol": 2342548,
        "diesel": 3305514,
        "other": 112195
      },
      "RO-2024": {
        "electric": 49594,
        "hybrid": 266590,
        "petrol": 3759984,
        "diesel": 4284499,
        "other": 89114
      },
      "RO-2025": {
        "electric": 61453,
        "hybrid": 379478,
        "petrol": 3774405,
        "diesel": 4445905,
        "other": 113567
      },
      "SI-2024": {
        "electric": 16944,
        "hybrid": 53522,
        "petrol": 568483,
        "diesel": 602520,
        "other": 9039
      },
      "SI-2025": {
        "electric": 24548,
        "hybrid": 73863,
        "petrol": 573881,
        "diesel": 605585,
        "other": 8711
      },
      "ES-2024": {
        "electric": 208240,
        "hybrid": 1816401,
        "petrol": 10496661,
        "diesel": 13952057,
        "other": 227613
      },
      "ES-2025": {
        "electric": 312914,
        "hybrid": 2402620,
        "petrol": 10517959,
        "diesel": 13758092,
        "other": 289788
      },
      "SE-2024": {
        "electric": 358255,
        "hybrid": 522675,
        "petrol": 2337374,
        "diesel": 1557502,
        "other": 201181
      },
      "SE-2025": {
        "electric": 432709,
        "hybrid": 597952,
        "petrol": 2297530,
        "diesel": 1519841,
        "other": 191399
      },
      "EL-2024": {
        "electric": 17987,
        "hybrid": 135793,
        "petrol": 5180952,
        "diesel": 578683,
        "other": 114531
      },
      "SK-2024": {
        "electric": 14612,
        "hybrid": 119804,
        "petrol": 1311227,
        "diesel": 1203341,
        "other": 73507
      },
      "PL-2024": {
        "electric": 62182,
        "hybrid": 642646,
        "petrol": 10196998,
        "diesel": 8790315,
        "other": 3259072
      },
      "BG-2025": {
        "electric": 21545,
        "hybrid": 101481,
        "petrol": 1093248,
        "diesel": 1587802,
        "other": 450249
      },
      "FR-2025": {
        "electric": 1543440,
        "hybrid": 3567473,
        "petrol": 15355601,
        "diesel": 18908966,
        "other": 582514
      },
      "EL-2025": {
        "electric": 30108,
        "hybrid": 173759,
        "petrol": 5297195,
        "diesel": 569881,
        "other": 117582
      },
      "NL-2025": {
        "electric": 680605,
        "hybrid": 1362699,
        "petrol": 6615511,
        "diesel": 654368,
        "other": 102357
      },
      "PL-2025": {
        "electric": 102710,
        "hybrid": 816450,
        "petrol": 10358578,
        "diesel": 8656616,
        "other": 3299159
      },
      "SK-2025": {
        "electric": 18895,
        "hybrid": 150066,
        "petrol": 1340141,
        "diesel": 1185038,
        "other": 74760
      }
    }
  },
  "USA": {
    "current2025": {
      "Electric (EV)": 5689100,
      "Plug-In Hybrid Electric (PHEV)": 1765700,
      "Hybrid Electric (HEV)": 13929600,
      "Biodiesel": 3375000,
      "Ethanol/Flex (E85)": 19561100,
      "Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)": 23200,
      "Propane": 5500,
      "Hydrogen": 16600,
      "Methanol": 0,
      "Gasoline": 240682100,
      "Diesel": 7176500,
      "Unknown Fuel": 1616900
    },
    "percentChange2024to2025": {
      "Gasoline": 1.29755079697399,
      "Ethanol/Flex (E85)": -1.02328129835473,
      "Diesel": 0.347209634362433,
      "Hybrid Electric (HEV)": 18.2363688816232,
      "Electric (EV)": 20.964147201797,
      "Biodiesel": 46.8166502878001,
      "Plug-In Hybrid Electric (PHEV)": 14.1373080397471,
      "Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)": -36.9942196531792,
      "Hydrogen": 0.588235294117647,
      "Propane": 3.38983050847458,
      "Unknown Fuel": 7.80656049512502
    },
    "reconstructedPrevious": "base/(1+percent/100); no archived-vintage subtraction",
    "rounding": "counts rounded to 100; classification revisions may affect trend"
  },
  "rest": {
    "BEV": "IEA Cars World 51m/38m; regional residual at common date",
    "hybrid": "Japan March 2025 13,785,608 minus assumed Japan PHEV 300,000; other-country HEV scenario 10m; IEA world PHEV 25m minus EU 4,979,202, China 15m and USA 1,765,700. Different reference dates; approximate scenario. Change 3,088,405/year is a scenario, not observed global growth.",
    "retainedPriors": "World total 1.38bn/+20m, diesel322m/-3m, other15m/+0.5m originally Sept30 2026, translated to Dec31 2025. Global total growth +20m is replaced by summed regional rates plus explicit ROW +5m scenario. Not verified new statistics."
  },
  "china": "Broad MPS automobile stock (includes commercial vehicles); NEV residual not clean PHEV. HEV6m/+1.5m assumption; petrol balancing residual; diesel40m/+0.5m assumption. Not harmonized passenger-car census.",
  "scope": "EU/DE passenger cars; USA light-duty; China automobiles. Global is mixed-scope accounting model, not an official harmonized passenger-car census.",
  "Germany": {
    "source": "KBA FZ 27.2, passenger-car column, Germany total",
    "start": "2026-01-01",
    "end": "2026-07-01",
    "days": 181,
    "startStocks": {
      "Benzin": 29343732,
      "Diesel": 13385662,
      "Gas insgesamt": 350851,
      "Elektro (BEV)": 2034260,
      "Hybrid insgesamt": 4362563,
      "  darunter Plug-in": 1122958,
      "Sonstige": 9419
    },
    "endStocks": {
      "Benzin": 29012909,
      "Diesel": 13157334,
      "Gas insgesamt": 344598,
      "Elektro (BEV)": 2365047,
      "Hybrid insgesamt": 4807029,
      "darunter Plug-in": 1226863,
      "Sonstige": 9793
    },
    "hybridNoDoubleCount": "Hybrid insgesamt already includes plug-in; do not add PHEV again",
    "changeReason": "Use the latest comparable official KBA powertrain stocks. A six-month interval reacts faster to recent trends but may reflect seasonality more strongly; it is not established as more accurate at every current moment.",
    "EUcomplement": "EU excluding Germany baseline and rates recomputed as complements so the EU reference stock and modeled EU total trend remain unchanged after Germany switches to the six-month comparison.",
    "comparison6vs12": {
      "Elektro (BEV)": {
        "stockJuly2026": 2365047,
        "delta12Months": 529469,
        "vehiclesPerMinute12Months": 1.0073611111111112,
        "delta6Months": 330787,
        "vehiclesPerMinute6Months": 1.2691336709637815,
        "rateDifferencePercent": 25.98597037004311
      },
      "Hybrid insgesamt": {
        "stockJuly2026": 4807029,
        "delta12Months": 837275,
        "vehiclesPerMinute12Months": 1.5929889649923896,
        "delta6Months": 444466,
        "vehiclesPerMinute6Months": 1.7052869858809085,
        "rateDifferencePercent": 7.049516560151159
      },
      "Benzin": {
        "stockJuly2026": 29012909,
        "delta12Months": -670154,
        "vehiclesPerMinute12Months": -1.2750266362252665,
        "delta6Months": -330823,
        "vehiclesPerMinute6Months": -1.2692717925107428,
        "rateDifferencePercent": -0.4513508620934248
      },
      "Diesel": {
        "stockJuly2026": 13157334,
        "delta12Months": -508100,
        "vehiclesPerMinute12Months": -0.9667047184170472,
        "delta6Months": -228328,
        "vehiclesPerMinute6Months": -0.8760282381829343,
        "rateDifferencePercent": -9.379956309988147
      }
    },
    "activeComparison": "2026-01-01 to 2026-07-01; 181 days; observed six-month changes spread linearly across seconds.",
    "rateConversion": "Observed delta over 181 days, multiplied by 365/181 for stored annual-equivalent delta; per-second rate therefore equals observed delta divided by 181 days."
  }
}
